Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 7 at the 59

Philadelphia Eagles 14 – Dallas Cowboys 17

(:15) 10-B.Mann punts 47 yards to DAL 12, Center-45-R.Lovato, downed by PHI-89-J.Stoll.

The Three Options

GO -0.61 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +1.10 EP
60% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 59, worth -1.75 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (76 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model