Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Tennessee Titans 4th & 9 at the 74

Tennessee Titans 3 – Baltimore Ravens 18

(13:03) 4-R.Stonehouse punts 56 yards to BAL 18, Center-46-M.Cox. 13-D.Duvernay pushed ob at BAL 32 for 14 yards (37-A.Hooker).

The Three Options

GO -2.07 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.94 EP
65% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 74, worth -4.20 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model