Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 17 at the 80

Seattle Seahawks 0 – New York Giants 0

(7:27) 4-M.Dickson punts 45 yards to NYG 35, Center-41-C.Stoll. 20-E.Gray MUFFS catch, touched at NYG 35, recovered by NYG-44-N.McCloud at NYG 33.

The Three Options

GO -2.95 EP

30% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 63, worth +1.51 EP
70% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 80, worth -4.83 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model