Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 7 at the 67

Seattle Seahawks 21 – New York Giants 3

(10:36) 4-M.Dickson punts 54 yards to NYG 13, Center-41-C.Stoll, downed by SEA-42-D.Thomas.

The Three Options

GO -1.24 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +2.07 EP
58% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 67, worth -3.60 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model