Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 10 at the 60

Dallas Cowboys 10 – Arizona Cardinals 18

(:37) 5-B.Anger punts 50 yards to ARI 10, Center-44-T.Sieg. 83-G.Dortch pushed ob at ARI 29 for 19 yards (29-C.Goodwin).

The Three Options

GO -1.01 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +1.81 EP
65% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 60, worth -2.54 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model