Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 New Orleans Saints 4th & 13 at the 64

New Orleans Saints 0 – Carolina Panthers 0

(12:03) 39-L.Hedley punts 29 yards to CAR 35, Center-49-Z.Wood, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.02 EP

30% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 51, worth +2.53 EP
70% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 64, worth -3.94 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (81 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model