Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Tennessee Titans 4th & 10 at the 86

Tennessee Titans 17 – Los Angeles Chargers 21

(8:58) 4-R.Stonehouse punts 62 yards to LAC 24, Center-46-M.Cox. 12-D.Davis to LAC 35 for 11 yards (57-L.Gifford; 36-J.Chestnut).

The Three Options

GO -2.90 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 76, worth +1.11 EP
66% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 86, worth -5.00 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (103 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model