Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 7 at the 72

Cleveland Browns 11 – Pittsburgh Steelers 10

(7:48) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 54 yards to PIT 18, Center-47-C.Hughlett, fair catch by 19-C.Austin.

The Three Options

GO -2.11 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.37 EP
60% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 72, worth -4.40 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model