Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 9 at the 54

Cleveland Browns 3 – Cincinnati Bengals 0

(2:14) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 33 yards to CIN 21, Center-47-C.Hughlett, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -0.81 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 45, worth +2.85 EP
66% chance to fail: Cincinnati Bengals takes over around their own 54, worth -2.66 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (71 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model