Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 11 at the 57

Cleveland Browns 3 – Cincinnati Bengals 0

(12:06) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 36 yards to CIN 21, Center-47-C.Hughlett, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.02 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 46, worth +3.13 EP
69% chance to fail: Cincinnati Bengals takes over around their own 57, worth -2.88 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (74 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model