Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Arizona Cardinals 4th & 11 at the 85

Arizona Cardinals 6 – Washington Commanders 7

(6:24) 16-N.Cooney punts 34 yards to ARI 49, Center-46-A.Brewer, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -3.10 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 74, worth +0.88 EP
68% chance to fail: Washington Commanders takes over around their own 85, worth -5.01 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (102 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model