Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 12 at the 82

Seattle Seahawks 0 – San Francisco 49ers 0

(12:43) 4-M.Dickson punts 46 yards to SF 36, Center-46-C.Tinker, fair catch by 3-R.McCloud.

The Three Options

GO -3.20 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.00 EP
69% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 82, worth -5.09 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (99 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model