Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 8 at the 61

Cincinnati Bengals 17 – Baltimore Ravens 7

(:55) 4-D.Chrisman punts 56 yards to BAL 5, Center-48-C.Adomitis, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.01 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 53, worth +2.22 EP
61% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 61, worth -3.06 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (78 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model