Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Denver Broncos 4th & 19 at the 54

Denver Broncos 3 – Los Angeles Rams 24

(7:19) 17-C.Waitman punts 44 yards to LA 10, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, fair catch by 19-B.Powell.

The Three Options

GO -1.46 EP

24% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 35, worth +3.46 EP
76% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 54, worth -3.04 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (71 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model