Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 13 at the 91

Los Angeles Chargers 7 – Tennessee Titans 7

(1:52) 16-J.Scott punts 45 yards to TEN 46, Center-47-J.Harris. 12-M.Kinsey to TEN 46 for no gain (37-K.Hall).

The Three Options

GO -3.24 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 78, worth +0.99 EP
67% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 91, worth -5.34 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (108 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model