Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 11 at the 55

Los Angeles Chargers 7 – Tennessee Titans 7

(12:33) 16-J.Scott punts 35 yards to TEN 20, Center-47-J.Harris. 12-M.Kinsey MUFFS catch, touched at TEN 20, and recovers at TEN 21.

The Three Options

GO -1.04 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 44, worth +3.18 EP
68% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 55, worth -2.99 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (72 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model