Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 New York Giants 4th & 7 at the 67

New York Giants 0 – Washington Commanders 0

(7:50) 6-J.Gillan punts 37 yards to WAS 30, Center-58-C.Kreiter, fair catch by 15-D.Milne.

The Three Options

GO -1.93 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.26 EP
61% chance to fail: Washington Commanders takes over around their own 67, worth -3.99 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model