Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 8 at the 63

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Carolina Panthers 10

(4:37) 4-M.Dickson punts 42 yards to CAR 21, Center-46-C.Tinker. 12-S.Smith to CAR 26 for 5 yards (25-T.Homer; 44-N.Bellore).

The Three Options

GO -1.06 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +2.61 EP
61% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 63, worth -3.40 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model