Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Green Bay Packers 4th & 7 at the 68

Green Bay Packers 0 – Chicago Bears 3

(5:46) 16-P.O'Donnell punts 38 yards to CHI 30, Center-56-J.Coco, fair catch by 18-D.Pettis.

The Three Options

GO -1.56 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 61, worth +1.67 EP
58% chance to fail: Chicago Bears takes over around their own 68, worth -3.94 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model