Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4th & 7 at the 93

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14 – Seattle Seahawks 0

(1:57) 5-J.Camarda punts 63 yards to SEA 30, Center-97-Z.Triner, fair catch by 31-D.Dallas.

The Three Options

GO -2.67 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 86, worth +0.59 EP
56% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 93, worth -5.20 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (110 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model