Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4th & 10 at the 84

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0 – Seattle Seahawks 0

(14:13) 5-J.Camarda punts 59 yards to SEA 25, Center-97-Z.Triner, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.44 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 74, worth +1.64 EP
63% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 84, worth -4.80 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (101 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model