Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 8 at the 56

Philadelphia Eagles 0 – Dallas Cowboys 0

(10:56) 8-A.Siposs punts 44 yards to DAL 12, Center-45-R.Lovato. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 24 for 12 yards (89-J.Stoll).

The Three Options

GO -0.52 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 48, worth +3.15 EP
62% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 56, worth -2.78 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (73 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model