Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 7 at the 72

Los Angeles Rams 10 – Dallas Cowboys 16

(6:34) 11-R.Dixon punts 49 yards to DAL 23, Center-42-M.Orzech, fair catch by 9-K.Turpin.

The Three Options

GO -1.61 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.91 EP
60% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 72, worth -4.01 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model