Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 San Francisco 49ers 4th & 9 at the 83

San Francisco 49ers 24 – Los Angeles Rams 9

(:54) 18-M.Wishnowsky punts 41 yards to LA 42, Center-46-T.Pepper, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.14 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 74, worth +0.32 EP
63% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 83, worth -3.57 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (100 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model