Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 9 at the 79

Los Angeles Rams 3 – San Francisco 49ers 7

(11:58) 11-R.Dixon punts 57 yards to SF 22, Center-42-M.Orzech, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.32 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.37 EP
63% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 79, worth -4.50 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (96 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model