Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Jacksonville Jaguars 4th & 10 at the 75

Jacksonville Jaguars 14 – Philadelphia Eagles 7

(8:34) 9-L.Cooke punts 46 yards to PHI 29, Center-46-R.Matiscik, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.36 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.55 EP
65% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 75, worth -4.48 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model