Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Atlanta Falcons 4th & 8 at the 73

Atlanta Falcons 17 – Seattle Seahawks 17

(3:12) 13-B.Pinion punts 73 yards to end zone, Center-48-L.McCullough, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -2.00 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.47 EP
62% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 73, worth -4.12 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model