Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Kansas City Chiefs 4th & 6 at the 65

Kansas City Chiefs 24 – Los Angeles Chargers 17

(6:03) 5-T.Townsend punts 51 yards to LAC 14, Center-41-J.Winchester, fair catch by 1-D.Carter.

The Three Options

GO -1.03 EP

47% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 59, worth +1.70 EP
53% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 65, worth -3.48 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model