Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 New York Giants 4th & 11 at the 76

New York Giants 6 – Carolina Panthers 6

(13:35) 6-J.Gillan punts 43 yards to CAR 33, Center-58-C.Kreiter, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.34 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.96 EP
68% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 76, worth -4.32 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model