Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 9 at the 60

Cincinnati Bengals 20 – Los Angeles Rams 16

(6:20) 10-K.Huber punts 39 yards to LA 21, Center-46-C.Harris, fair catch by 19-B.Powell.

The Three Options

GO -1.14 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 51, worth +2.35 EP
64% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 60, worth -3.14 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model