Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 9 at the 66

Los Angeles Rams 17 – San Francisco 49ers 0

(:45) 6-J.Hekker punts 51 yards to SF 15, Center-42-M.Orzech, fair catch by 17-T.Benjamin.

The Three Options

GO -1.52 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +1.55 EP
65% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 66, worth -3.17 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model