Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Baltimore Ravens 4th & 8 at the 59

Baltimore Ravens 0 – Pittsburgh Steelers 3

(5:40) 4-S.Koch punts 40 yards to PIT 19, Center-46-N.Moore, fair catch by 14-R.McCloud.

The Three Options

GO -0.89 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 51, worth +2.89 EP
63% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 59, worth -3.10 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (76 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model