Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Cleveland Browns 4th & 10 at the 55

Cleveland Browns 0 – Pittsburgh Steelers 0

(10:51) 2-D.Colquitt punts 55 yards to end zone, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.23 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 45, worth +2.72 EP
66% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 55, worth -3.25 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (72 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model