Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Arizona Cardinals 4th & 5 at the 62

Arizona Cardinals 3 – Dallas Cowboys 0

(1:12) 14-A.Lee punts 31 yards to DAL 31, Center-46-A.Brewer, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.19 EP

43% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +1.93 EP
57% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 62, worth -3.57 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model