Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Carolina Panthers 4th & 8 at the 58

Carolina Panthers 6 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19

(:44) 10-L.Edwards punts 50 yards to TB 8, Center-44-J.Jansen. 38-K.Barner pushed ob at TB 17 for 9 yards (45-G.Ricci).

The Three Options

GO -0.81 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +1.37 EP
67% chance to fail: Tampa Bay Buccaneers takes over around their own 58, worth -1.88 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (75 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model