Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Tennessee Titans 4th & 6 at the 76

Tennessee Titans 0 – San Francisco 49ers 7

(15:00) 6-B.Kern punts 39 yards to SF 37, Center-46-M.Cox, downed by TEN-21-M.Farley.

The Three Options

GO -1.64 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.63 EP
56% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 76, worth -4.15 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model