Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 New York Giants 4th & 8 at the 60

New York Giants 3 – Philadelphia Eagles 20

(2:17) 9-R.Dixon punts 36 yards to PHI 24, Center-58-C.Kreiter. 18-J.Reagor to PHI 25 for 1 yard (20-J.Love).

The Three Options

GO -1.27 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +2.64 EP
65% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 60, worth -3.35 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model