Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 8 at the 58

New York Giants 3 – Dallas Cowboys 9

(8:24) 9-R.Dixon punts 50 yards to DAL 8, Center-58-C.Kreiter, fair catch by 88-C.Lamb.

The Three Options

GO -0.99 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +2.85 EP
66% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 58, worth -2.94 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (75 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model