Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 13 at the 65

Cincinnati Bengals 3 – Denver Broncos 3

(3:38) 10-K.Huber punts 45 yards to DEN 20, Center-46-C.Harris, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.79 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +2.34 EP
69% chance to fail: Denver Broncos takes over around their own 65, worth -3.68 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model