Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Las Vegas Raiders 4th & 10 at the 60

Las Vegas Raiders 0 – Kansas City Chiefs 7

(6:10) 6-A.Cole punts 60 yards to end zone, Center-47-T.Sieg, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.50 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +2.43 EP
66% chance to fail: Kansas City Chiefs takes over around their own 60, worth -3.54 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model