Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 6 at the 71

Los Angeles Rams 0 – Arizona Cardinals 3

(10:03) 6-J.Hekker punts 38 yards to ARI 33, Center-42-M.Orzech, fair catch by 4-R.Moore.

The Three Options

GO -1.93 EP

43% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.24 EP
57% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 71, worth -4.32 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model