Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 15 at the 81

Los Angeles Rams 3 – Tennessee Titans 14

(9:58) 6-J.Hekker punts 45 yards to TEN 36, Center-42-M.Orzech, fair catch by 80-C.Rogers. LA-87-J.Harris was injured during the play.

The Three Options

GO -2.35 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 66, worth +1.92 EP
66% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 81, worth -4.58 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (98 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model