Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 7 at the 80

Pittsburgh Steelers 14 – Chicago Bears 0

(9:19) 6-P.Harvin punts 32 yards to CHI 48, Center-46-C.Kuntz, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.85 EP

43% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 73, worth +1.46 EP
57% chance to fail: Chicago Bears takes over around their own 80, worth -4.34 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model