Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 6 at the 62

Dallas Cowboys 10 – Minnesota Vikings 13

(4:01) 5-B.Anger punts 36 yards to MIN 26, Center-44-J.McQuaide, downed by DAL-44-J.McQuaide. DAL-14-J.Cox was injured during the play.

The Three Options

GO -1.12 EP

45% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 56, worth +1.82 EP
55% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 62, worth -3.53 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model