Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 10 at the 65

Dallas Cowboys 3 – Minnesota Vikings 10

(:43) 5-B.Anger punts 50 yards to MIN 15, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 17-K.Osborn.

The Three Options

GO -1.53 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +1.47 EP
63% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 65, worth -3.30 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model