Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 7 at the 56

Pittsburgh Steelers 14 – Seattle Seahawks 0

(:20) 6-P.Harvin punts 56 yards to end zone, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -0.55 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 49, worth +1.21 EP
60% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 56, worth -1.72 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (73 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model