Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 13 at the 82

Minnesota Vikings 12 – Carolina Panthers 7

(8:54) 3-J.Berry punts 44 yards to CAR 38, Center-42-A.DePaola. 13-A.Erickson to CAR 39 for 1 yard (29-K.Boyd).

The Three Options

GO -2.89 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 69, worth +1.48 EP
69% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 82, worth -4.88 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (99 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model