Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 9 at the 64

Los Angeles Rams 0 – Seattle Seahawks 0

(7:19) 6-J.Hekker punts 45 yards to SEA 19, Center-42-M.Orzech, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.47 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +1.92 EP
59% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 64, worth -3.82 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (81 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model