Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Carolina Panthers 4th & 5 at the 75

Carolina Panthers 14 – Dallas Cowboys 13

(1:48) 3-J.Charlton punts 43 yards to DAL 32, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 88-C.Lamb.

The Three Options

GO -1.52 EP

48% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.31 EP
52% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 75, worth -4.13 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model