Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Jacksonville Jaguars 4th & 6 at the 71

Jacksonville Jaguars 19 – Arizona Cardinals 24

(13:50) 9-L.Cooke punts 36 yards to ARI 35, Center-46-R.Matiscik, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.64 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.69 EP
58% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 71, worth -4.01 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model